Assessing Environmental Effects upon Modeling the Individual Lactation Curve of a Local Goat Population in a Pastoral System

The present study aims to use Wood’s model to determine the parameters of individual lactation curves in a local goat population and their factors of variation under a pastoral system. A total of 137,927 records from 432 local goats were collected to assess the impact of litter size, year and month of kidding, herd and the age of the dam on lactation curve parameters. Wood’s model parameters were estimated using non-linear regression, and individual curves were fitted. The characteristics of the lactation curves were computed. The initial yield (A), rate of increase (B) and rate of decline (C) parameters in Wood’s model for local goats were 730 g, 0.26 and 0.09 respectively. The values of peak milk production (PP), peak date (PD) and persistency (PC) were 931.88 g/d, 23.39 days and 91.50%, respectively. Persistence was higher in goats with simple births, while peak production increased by around 0.3 kg for each additional kid. The curve parameters “A” and “C” differed according to the herd and month of kidding (p < 0.05); the age of the dam only had an impact on parameter “A” (p < 0.01). Parameter “B” was not significantly influenced by any of the factors considered (p > 0.05). Correlation coefficients among lactation curve characteristics were ranged from −0.20 to 0.89. Due to a significant negative correlation, selecting for parameter “A” may have an adverse effect on parameter “B”, resulting in a shorter time to reach peak production and less persistency, but an increase in peak production among goats. The curves derived from Wood’s model suggest that the shape of the curve may serve as a basis for herd management planning and to improve local population potentialities.